redneckgaijin (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
redneckgaijin) wrote2008-04-22 08:29 pm
redneckgaijin) wrote2008-04-22 08:29 pm
LYAN: PA Update
I just looked at MSNBC's exit poll for PA.
By calculating the male-female breakdown of votes, I show the exit poll as predicting:
CLINTON - 51.8%
OBAMA - 47.8%
That's only a four percentile spread. That's damn close, if it holds. No wonder they held off on declaring a winner.
That may not hold up- Philadelphia's already 50% in, and with 20% of the statewide precincts in the spread is 53-47- but it's still damn close, and respectable indeed.
Edited the above into my last LYAN post.
By calculating the male-female breakdown of votes, I show the exit poll as predicting:
CLINTON - 51.8%
OBAMA - 47.8%
That's only a four percentile spread. That's damn close, if it holds. No wonder they held off on declaring a winner.
That may not hold up- Philadelphia's already 50% in, and with 20% of the statewide precincts in the spread is 53-47- but it's still damn close, and respectable indeed.
Edited the above into my last LYAN post.