Oh- and a state-by-state breakdown:

I just mentioned FiveThirtyEight.com .

From here on out, it is just barely possible for a five point swing. Any state that's farther apart than five points can be considered locked, in my opinion, for one candidate or the other.

So, my breakdown of the states (bold is for what the media calls "battleground" states) is:

SAFE OBAMA: California (55), Colorado (9), Connecticut (7), D. C. (3), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Iowa (7), Illinois (21), Massachusetts (12), Maryland (10), Maine (2 statewide, CD1, CD2), Michigan (17), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (15), New Mexico (5), New York (31), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (21), Rhode Island (4), Virginia (13), Vermont (3), Washington (11), Wisconsin (10)

LEANING OBAMA (2% to 5% lead): Florida (27), Nevada (5), Ohio (20)

TOSS-UP (2% Obama to 2% McCain): Indiana (11), Missouri (11), North Carolina (15), West Virginia (5)

LEANING MCCAIN (2% to 5% lead): Arkansas (6), North Dakota (3)

SAFE MCCAIN: Alaska (3), Alabama (9), Arizona (10), Georgia (15), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (2 statewide, CD1, CD2, CD3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (34), Utah (5), Wyoming (3)

So, the electoral count from the safe Obama states alone is 286- sixteen more than what he needs to win. Add the leaners in and he's got 338. At this point McCain can only rely on 149 electoral votes, 158 adding in the two leaners.

Yes, I'm in a safe McCain state (dammit), but there's an outside chance that the Dems can take a Senate seat away from John Cornyn. There's an even better chance for the Dems to take the lower house of the Legislature away- only five seats out of 150 changing hands will do it. All the more reason to vote, I think...

Oh- and a state-by-state breakdown:

I just mentioned FiveThirtyEight.com .

From here on out, it is just barely possible for a five point swing. Any state that's farther apart than five points can be considered locked, in my opinion, for one candidate or the other.

So, my breakdown of the states (bold is for what the media calls "battleground" states) is:

SAFE OBAMA: California (55), Colorado (9), Connecticut (7), D. C. (3), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Iowa (7), Illinois (21), Massachusetts (12), Maryland (10), Maine (2 statewide, CD1, CD2), Michigan (17), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (15), New Mexico (5), New York (31), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (21), Rhode Island (4), Virginia (13), Vermont (3), Washington (11), Wisconsin (10)

LEANING OBAMA (2% to 5% lead): Florida (27), Nevada (5), Ohio (20)

TOSS-UP (2% Obama to 2% McCain): Indiana (11), Missouri (11), North Carolina (15), West Virginia (5)

LEANING MCCAIN (2% to 5% lead): Arkansas (6), North Dakota (3)

SAFE MCCAIN: Alaska (3), Alabama (9), Arizona (10), Georgia (15), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (2 statewide, CD1, CD2, CD3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (34), Utah (5), Wyoming (3)

So, the electoral count from the safe Obama states alone is 286- sixteen more than what he needs to win. Add the leaners in and he's got 338. At this point McCain can only rely on 149 electoral votes, 158 adding in the two leaners.

Yes, I'm in a safe McCain state (dammit), but there's an outside chance that the Dems can take a Senate seat away from John Cornyn. There's an even better chance for the Dems to take the lower house of the Legislature away- only five seats out of 150 changing hands will do it. All the more reason to vote, I think...

More Mud on GOP Faces

Joe the Plumber turns out to be a tax dodger.

And some California Republicans go racist in their local newsletter... again.

Bear in mind there's a lot I don't like about the general Democratic economic plan- not Obama specifically, but the party as a whole. On economic issues I lean a little in the Republican direction, except in emergencies like the current volatility.

But after eight years of what Nixon only wished he could have got away with, I laugh, I tell you I LAUGH at how the GOP is continually stepping on the rake.

More Mud on GOP Faces

Joe the Plumber turns out to be a tax dodger.

And some California Republicans go racist in their local newsletter... again.

Bear in mind there's a lot I don't like about the general Democratic economic plan- not Obama specifically, but the party as a whole. On economic issues I lean a little in the Republican direction, except in emergencies like the current volatility.

But after eight years of what Nixon only wished he could have got away with, I laugh, I tell you I LAUGH at how the GOP is continually stepping on the rake.